軍事演習與北戴河會議    林保華
中共中央總書記兼國家主席習近平在7月17日到22日訪問拉丁美洲期間,
上海虹橋和浦東兩大機場就不斷出現航班延誤。所以媒體都說因為中國進
行了大規模軍事演習。

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2014 8 11《綠色參考》
(林保華主編;提供林保華的評論與若干信息。)
林保華部落格:http://lingfengcomment.pixnet.net/blog

綠參:軍事演習與北戴河會議;中日外長夜會談;解放軍必先將美國徹底打倒;新疆成第二車臣;蘋果為張家祝不平

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英媒:中國鐵腕政策或致新疆成第二車臣
更新時間 201488, 格林尼治標準時間12:54 
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如果處理不好,新疆有可能陷入民族爭鬥的泥潭,並成為中國的車臣。
英國《經濟學人》週五(8日)發表社論說,中國對新疆的鐵腕政策助燃了新疆的反抗活動。中國
當局必須改變其新疆政策和思維方式。
文章說,新疆接二連三的暴力活動顯示中國當局對新疆的政策存在問題。如果處理不好,新疆有
可能陷入民族爭鬥的泥潭,並成為中國的車臣。
中國在過去幾十年對新疆採用了各種手段以維持對新疆的控制,其中包括鼓勵大批漢人移民到新疆,
投資建設新疆的基礎設施,創造就業機會等。
但是文章說絕大數的工作機會卻給了漢人。目前漢人占新疆人口的40%以上。
維吾爾人稍有不滿就面臨鐵腕鎮壓,最近一段時間新疆的暴力案件更是自2009年以來最血腥的,
造成上百人死傷,其中包括一位親中國政府的大毛拉在清真寺被刺身亡。
通常只要一有暴力事件發生,中國政府總是發出堅決打擊、毫不手軟的言辭。
文章引用中國主席習近平的話說,要“構築銅牆鐵壁”,撒下“天羅地網”搜捕“恐怖分子”。
中國政府指責來自中亞和南亞,尤其是阿富汗和巴基斯坦地區的伊斯蘭激進分子在新疆發動襲擊。
其實到目前為止,新疆的暴力襲擊還主要是由一些新疆本地的不滿所引發的,並且其暴力襲擊的方式也並非
專業化,主要是以砍刀為主。
然而,最近幾個月已經開始發生變化,並有向其他地區蔓延的趨勢,開始出現類似其他地區的聖戰色彩,例如
自殺式襲擊和濫殺無辜平民百姓。
前車之鑒
文章指出,中國的重拳出擊政策可能會使一個原本比較容忍的文化開始走向激進。在海外的維吾爾活動人士說,
最近在喀什發生的暴力與恐怖活動無關,它是由於員警強制禁止齋月封齋引起的。
事實證明從蘇丹到加沙西岸,一旦宗教捲入了衝突就會變得非常棘手。而車臣的例子也許會給中國一些前車之鑒。
位於俄羅斯北部高加索地區的車臣地區在1990年代發動了民族主義起義,隨後遭到了殘酷鎮壓。車臣自此成為
了一個伊斯蘭暴力活動的溫床,並成為俄國一個永遠的傷痛和傷疤。
應對措施
有跡象表示習近平對新疆問題的理解和重視。他在今年5月為此曾罕見地召開黨內重要會議,討論新疆問題。
認識到為維族人創造就業機會的重要性,尤其是在南疆。
那次會議後,新疆的國有企業接到通知他們必須至少要雇用四分之一的維吾爾人和其他少數民族。
同時,為維族人提供教育機會也是另外一個當務之急。
但是文章說,這些措施都是必要的,然而仍然不足夠。還應該尊重維族人的宗教傳統,應該允許穆斯林去朝聖麥加等。
此外,當局還應該鼓勵維吾爾語言的教育。習近平還應該解散新疆的生產建設兵團,因為該組織主要以漢人為主。
最後,文章說中國應該放棄鎮壓那些溫和的維族人的做法,因為他們並不主張聖戰,但是卻對中國政府的鎮壓政策不滿。
同時,中國最近對新疆維族學者伊力哈木‧土赫提的定罪意味著越來越少的人敢於對新疆的少數民族政策直言了。
如果中國不希望看到新疆維吾爾人落入極端分子之手的話,就應該允許像伊力哈木‧土赫提這樣的知識份子發表不同意見,而不是把他們關進監獄。
(編譯:凱露責編:路西)

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北京對香港政改食言   
林保華
七十九萬人公投與五十一萬人遊行,本來也不期望北京會“讓步”,因為
在共產黨的字典裡,只有“恃強凌弱”,與共產黨對陣,七百萬人的香港
,手無寸鐵的香港必然是弱者無疑。過去共產黨的讓步,承諾“一國兩制
”、“高度自治”,是因為香港“東方之珠”的世界影響力,那時中國剛
剛改革,如今中國崛起,香港沒落,還要讓嗎?不但不讓,還擺出“食言
”的姿態,收回過去的承諾。

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七一遊行後的香港政改局勢   
林保華
《看》雜誌  第146期  2014年 8月號
www.watchinese.com

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Eviction of pro-Beijing influence
Taipei Times  2014.8.7
By Paul Lin 林保華
The recent news regarding the closure of the two-year-old Hong Kong news Web site House News shocked many, as it had been getting 300,000 visits per day.
Whether in Taiwan, Hong Kong or even the rest of the world, people are faced with China’s use of its huge financial power to influence the media and distort universal values.
Online news sites are a strong weapon in resisting dictatorships. Therefore, China is also trying to go one step further by controlling the Internet around the world and when it is unable to use its financial power to reach its goals, it resorts to terror tactics without batting an eyelid. This is an important fact that former House News founder Tony Tsoi (蔡東豪) mentioned recently.
China has too many terror tactics up its sleeve to count. One example can be seen in how Hong Kong-based Chinese-language Ming Pao’s former chief editor Kevin Lau (劉進圖) was seriously wounded in a stabbing attack on the streets of Hong Kong early this year. Although the attackers, who fled to mainland China, were found quickly, the truth about the attack still has not been revealed. This is worth closer thought.
Recently, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has conducted two major smear campaigns against Hong Kong’s pan-democracy camp. The first was an attempt to defame the convener of the Alliance for True Democracy, Hong Kong City University political science professor Joseph Cheng (鄭宇碩) — a person who has the ability to mediate differences within the pan-democratic coalition — in an attempt to destroy the alliance.
This is a return to the Cultural Revolution.
The other smear campaign involved a hacker getting into the computer of Next Media Group chairman Jimmy Lai’s (黎智英) assistant and then releasing a conversation between Lai and former Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) chairman Shih Ming-te (施明德) in which Lai asked Shih to support Hong Kong’s Occupy Central movement.
While the movement had nothing to do with Taiwan, the CCP used Shih’s identity as former DPP chairman to attack Hong Kong’s pan-democracy camp and link them with Taiwanese independence.
A list of contributions Lai made to members of Hong Kong’s pan-democratic camp was also accessed and leaked, after which pro-Beijing protesters demanded that Hong Kong’s Independent Commission Against Corruption launch an investigation into Lai’s contributions. Also, the list of names released was mostly bogus, yet another longstanding CCP rumor mongering tactic.
Now that even those opposed to Chinese nationalism in Hong Kong have been linked to Taiwanese independence, surely this is a clear message to DPP members who want to freeze the party’s Taiwan independence clause and members of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) who used to chant anti-communist slogans saying that the CCP would not forget who they are and what they have done.
Of course, nothing would happen to them as long as they are willing to pose as eunuchs and lose every shred of dignity they have left, otherwise the CCP will settle all old scores and come down on them like a ton of bricks.
However, the strong backlash from the closing of House News cannot be ignored, just as China’s rule over Hong Kong has given birth to ideas of Hong Kong independence and President Ma Ying-jeou’s (馬英九) surrender to the CCP has strengthened calls for Taiwanese independence. An opinion piece in Hong Kong’s Apple Daily about the closing of House News asked the very pertinent question: Would those who support House News ever be able to go back to what they did before it existed?
The same question can be asked in relation to Taiwan. Will those who participated in the student-led Sunflower movement, especially younger people, continue to believe Ma’s lies?
House News’ slogan was “My City, My View, My Home Court,” and Taiwan’s should be “My Taiwan, My View, My Home Court.”
As the situation in Hong Kong continues to deteriorate rapidly, Taiwanese must be bold and resolute. They cannot allow the small, Mainlander ruling elite, who have only ever really been “passers through” in Taiwan anyway, to sell out the nation.
Taiwan belongs to Taiwanese and that includes independence supporters, the pro-Taiwan faction within the KMT, members of the new civil society movement and everyone who opposes unification.
In particular, people who lack any sense of politics must be warned about CCP officials using sweet talk to hoodwink them.
Influential, pro-China Taiwanese who the CCP has established in Taiwan must be removed. Beijing’s spies and informers must be clearly recognized and radical slogans must be used to get Taiwanese to enter the fight against those who place their interests above the nation’s.
Without a strong sense of home, Taiwan as it is known will cease to exist.
Paul Lin is a political commentator.
Translated by Drew Cameron

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〈林保華專欄〉直面「雜種」人生
2014-08-06
今年六月十九日,是我離開印尼投奔「祖國」的
五十九週年,我在臉書發表了九年前所寫的一篇

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2014 8 6《綠色參考》
(林保華主編;提供林保華的評論與若干信息。)
林保華部落格:http://lingfengcomment.pixnet.net/blog

綠參:直面「雜種」人生;新疆克拉瑪依禁留鬚搭巴士;港人治港高度自治的歷史啟示

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林保華按:
這是我在8月3日早上寫的一篇評論,那天下午,連勝文宣佈向高雄捐款
200萬元,除了給原先說的警消人員外,加上環保人士。我沒有時間修改
此文也就沒有投出去發表。現在在自己的臉書上發表。
連勝文捐款有那樣難嗎?
林保華

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2014 8 3《綠色參考》
(林保華主編;提供林保華的評論與若干信息。)
林保華部落格:http://lingfengcomment.pixnet.net/blog

綠參:港人治港,還是港人制港;外省權貴與本土議員;紀委巡視小組進駐上海;維吾爾鋤奸隊

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港人治港,還是港人制港





 

 

 

 


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2014年07月31日 17:35 PM
 勿讓兩種極端化民族主義撕裂新疆(上)
中國中央黨校民族宗教理論室主任 靳薇 為英
國《金融時報》中文網撰稿

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