我的一生人 林保華
一生人﹐可以是不同地方﹑各種各樣的人﹐我尤其是這樣的人。 我出生在中國重慶使朋友誤會我是中國重慶人﹐其實是中國福建人。原因老爸是 福建人﹐老媽卻是上海出生的滿州人﹐所以命中註定我不可能做純粹中國人﹐而 是雲遊四方的雜種人。別看不起雜種人﹐未來中國的總書記可能就是雜種人。(粵 語“習總”諧音“雜種”。)

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Window of opportunity for invasion is opening
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.8.3

On July 18, Peter Enav, a former Associated Press reporter in Taiwan,

published an article on the Taiwan Sentinel Web site, arguing that China

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China still hoodwinking the West
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipai Times  2017.7.30

When US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) had their summit meeting in April, the two main issues were North Korea’s nuclear weapons and US-China trade.

The Chinese side pledged itself to a “100-day plan” for trade talks that would boost US exports and reduce the US’ trade deficit with China. Now that 100 days have passed, not only has no solution been found to the North Korean problem, but trade between China and North Korea actually increased over the first half of this year, which means that China has relaxed its sanctions on Pyongyang.

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HK is a money laundering machine
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.7.10

According to Chinese media reports, last year a total of nearly 1 trillion yuan (US$146.78 billion) mysteriously disappeared from China after it was remitted into Hong Kong without first being converted into yuan deposits, and instead directly converted into US dollars and Hong Kong dollars. What is the truth behind these transfers?

The international financial crisis of 2008 hit Chinese exports badly. In the second half of that year, the value of China’s exports dropped sharply and then-Chinese premier Wen Jiabao (溫家寶) launched a 4 trillion yuan emergency plan, consisting of 10 measures to expand domestic demand.

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Beijing’s definition of ‘Chinese’ is dangerous
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.6.24

The way Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) has been going about setting up a system of tributaries to the Chinese empire — in addition to military matters and economic expansion — is to include 60 million “Chinese descendants” abroad within the “Chinese” scope, thus making them “a part of China.”

Ever since Xi took office, the issue of a “Chinese descendant card” has been discussed constantly and has sparked many disputes.

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No love lost between China, Russia
By Paul Lin 林保華
2017.6.20

With the severing of official ties with Panama, Taiwan has lost an important diplomatic ally. While Taiwan may be diplomatically isolated, China is probably the only nation that is hostile toward it.

China has more than 100 diplomatic allies, many of which dislike it, and there is strong anti-Chinese sentiment. Even Russia — which China looks to like a big brother — constantly opposes China.

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China is a much bigger threat to US
than Russia
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.6.3

US President Donald Trump is under investigation for alleged inappropriate contacts with Russia, and prior to that, it was revealed that Trump’s former national security adviser Michael Flynn had spoken to Russian Ambassador to the US Sergey Kislyak about the sanctions placed on Russia late last year by then-US president Barack Obama’s administration.

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Focus on substance before looks
By Paul Lin 林保華

Taipei Times 2017.5.20

China held a two-day forum on its “One Belt, One Road” initiative in Beijing last weekend to help Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) save face. The purpose of the program proposed by Xi after he took power is to expand China’s economic influence by building an empire with a system of tributary states and using foreign capital to promote its surplus goods.

Many countries are participating in the program, giving Xi a lot of face, but they are only looking for bargains. After having proposed and worked on the plan for four years, China’s main achievements are that it has sunk a lot of money into “money pits” in Pakistan, Indonesia and Africa.

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The delicate alliance of Pyongyang and Beijing
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times 2017.5.11

The only way to convince North Korean leader Kim Jong-un to temporarily stop nuclear testing would be to stop providing oil, which China supplies.

However, Kim is not giving in to Chinese pressure, and as Russia seems to want to gain influence on the Korean Peninsula, he has grown bolder — North Korea’s state-owned news agency has for the first time directly criticized China, saying that their relationship is being destroyed and warning that it could lead to serious consequences.

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US lets itself be played by China on North Korea
By Paul Lin 林保華

Taipei Times  2017.5.4

US President Donald Trump is now applying the basketball strategy of man-to-man marking to Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平).

So far, the two have had three telephone conversations and one meeting. The first call was initiated by Xi, the other two by Trump. While Xi might seem to have the upper hand, China’s propaganda machine has said little about the calls, which suggests subterfuge.

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US should take charge on N Korea
By Paul Lin 林保華

Taipei Times 2017.4.22

Under perceived pressure from the approaching USS Carl Vinson carrier strike group, North Korea did not conduct nuclear tests on Saturday last week, the nation’s “Day of the Sun” when state founder Kim Il-sung’s birth is celebrated, thus avoiding a clash.

However, the next day, North Korea did attempt to test-fire a missile. Some say this was a strategy suggested by China to allow North Korea to save face, while others say that its failure was the result of US cyberwarfare.

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Diversion and ultimatum for Xi
By Paul Lin 林保華
2017.4.16

There were two main elements to the meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平): A “diversion” and a “100-day ultimatum.” The initiative was in Trump’s hands, and Xi had to return home empty-handed.

Xi was only able to go through Chinese Minister of Foreign Affairs Wang Yi (王毅) to boast about the establishment of “four mechanisms for dialogue” between China and the US, while the Chinese media fabricated news about the Taiwan issue.

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Israel, Jews and US-China relations
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.3.30

Following the Chinese National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s

Political Consultative Conference this month, Beijing has engaged in some

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China’s Xi must play it safe with Taiwanese
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.3.16

China has continued to provoke Taiwan. China’s Taiwan Affairs Office Minister Zhang Zhijun’s (張志軍) statement at the joint meeting of the Chinese National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s Consultative Political Conference in Beijing that “the road toward Taiwanese independence will end in unification” has stirred a backlash in Taiwan.

Beijing has done nothing to correct policy mistakes by the office’s misjudgement of Taiwan and the result will be that the two sides of the Taiwan Strait will part ways.

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Contending with Asia’s hoodlums
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.3.11

Backed by China, North Korea’s Kim dynasty has long posed a military threat

to South Korea. With help from the US, Seoul is deploying a Terminal High

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Historical lessons for achieving civic unity
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.3.3

Taiwan has long been oppressed by “two Chinas”: the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the Republic of China (ROC). After universal suffrage, the nation gradually divided into those who identify with the ROC as a sovereign nation independent from the PRC, and the privileged class within the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) who identify with China.

As time went on, the former began working closely with independence supporters, while the latter continued to impose the old idea that the ROC is China rather than an independent nation of Taiwanese. The situation became even more difficult when some members of the latter tried to collude with the PRC.

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Trump’s East Asia diplomacy successes
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.2.18

Through a telephone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) and an in-person meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, US President Donald Trump has just completed his first real contact with two of East Asia’s main players — and the world’s two largest economies after the US itself — since he assumed the presidency.

The importance of these engagements goes without saying. However, it is not clear how much China has gained.

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Trump’s mistakes and the US’ role in Asia
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.2.12

As expected, as soon as US President Donald Trump took office, the US withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Trump also lashed out at China, Germany, Japan, Mexico and other countries. However, in his random attacks, Trump made two mistakes: He failed to distinguish major problems from minor, and he failed to distinguish political friends from foes.

By not distinguishing between major and minor issues, he failed to recognize that those countries hurt US business interests to different degrees and should be treated with different policies. The same applies to political relationships.

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Burden of security as pro-China tactics rise
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.1.12

When Hong Kong lawmakers Edward Yiu (姚松炎), Nathan Law (羅冠聰) and Eddie Chu (朱凱迪), and Hong Kong democracy campaigner Joshua Wong (黃之鋒) visited Taiwan on Friday last week at the invitation of the New Power Party (NPP) they were attacked and followed by Chinese patriots from Hong Kong and Taiwan.

The protesters focused on Law and Wong, who were at the front of the “Umbrella movement,” are internationally active and are seen as “traitors” by Chinese unionists.

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Chinese provocations hide its fear
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2017.1.4

If China wants to pick a fight with the US, the most vulnerable time for the US would be before the White House handover. However, China does not dare to actually pick a fight, so it is doing its best to be provocative to show that it is the boss and satisfy its own people’s vanity.

The most obvious action occurred in South China Sea, in the waters near Subic Bay in the Philippines, where it seized an underwater drone from right under the nose of a US surveillance vessel, despite warnings to stop.

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Taipei plays role in Sino-US ties
By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times  2016.12.21

Regarding the future of Sino-US relations, let us refer to two passages from The Hundred-Year Marathon: China’s Secret Strategy to Replace America as the Global Superpower by Michael Pillsbury, an American China expert: “On the right are US defense hawks, as well as trade protectionists such as [US president-elect] Donald Trump. These are the people who are to be ‘frozen out’ by the Chinese government and marginalized wherever possible,” and “It has long been known among China scholars that the people most trusted to report on China are those academics, journalists and writers who have been denied visas into the country.”

Trump and his national security team belong to this group.

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