我的一生人 林保華
一生人﹐可以是不同地方﹑各種各樣的人﹐我尤其是這樣的人。 我出生在中國重慶使朋友誤會我是中國重慶人﹐其實是中國福建人。原因老爸是 福建人﹐老媽卻是上海出生的滿州人﹐所以命中註定我不可能做純粹中國人﹐而 是雲遊四方的雜種人。別看不起雜種人﹐未來中國的總書記可能就是雜種人。(粵 語“習總”諧音“雜種”。)

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Ma’s peace plan pleases his masters in Beijing
By Paul Lin 林保華

President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) finally revealed his real plans to the public when he recently said that he would be willing to sign a peace agreement with China.

On Sept. 12, Ma’s “Siamese twin” King Pu-tsung (金溥聰), executive director of Ma’s re-election campaign office, said during an international press conference in the US that after winning re-election, Ma might visit China.

He also said that he did not rule out Taiwan and China signing a peace agreement. Because his remarks drew a strong reaction in Taiwan, the next day Presidential Office spokesman Fan Chiang Tai-chi (范姜泰基) backed away from the comments and quoted a statement from Ma saying he did not have any plans to visit China, that “there is no urgent need for political negotiations” and that there is “no timetable for holding political negotiations with China.”

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2011 10 15《綠色參考》

(提供林保華等人的評論與綠媒以外的信息、評論。)

 

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Moving identity issues forward
By Paul Lin 林保華

The pro-unification media have been having a field day with Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Chairperson Tsai Ing-wen’s (蔡英文) comment that Taiwan is the Republic of China. What they do not realize is that the DPP’s resolution on Taiwan’s future passed in 1999 clearly says that Taiwan, in accordance with the ROC Constitution, is currently called the Republic of China (ROC). Arguing about this all over again is merely a provocation against the solidarity of the green camp and insinuates that Taiwan is part of China.

Tsai said: “The government of the Republic of China today is in fact the government of Taiwan.”

The emphasis on “today” is quite significant here because if there is an ROC of today, then that means there was also an ROC of yesterday.

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Ma’s puppet masters in cross-strait tug-of-war
By Paul Lin 林保華

The way Taiwanese politicians have been cozying up to the US as exposed in the WikiLeaks cables is totally understandable. In the past, the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) was only able to survive thanks to US protection. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), whose ideals are close to those of the US, only avoided being affected by the strategies of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) by gaining US support. However, it is disappointing to see that the leaked cables seem to indicate that the US has had close interactions with the KMT, but not so much with the DPP.

This is not normal. The KMT does have longstanding historical links with the US, but the DPP’s ideals are more in line with those of the US, so why is there so little interaction between the DPP and the US? This is one of the reasons for some of the misunderstandings between Washington and the DPP during the DPP administration. However, the main reason was that after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, US president George W. Bush’s strategies changed and he had to sacrifice a little bit of Taiwan in order to please China.

DPP Chairperson Tsai Ing-wen’s (蔡英文) visit to the US is aimed at starting a new era in the party’s relationship with the US to improve Taiwan-US understanding when dealing with relations between Taiwan, China and the US in a way that pays attention to national interests and does not sacrifice universal values.

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‘Three noes’ destroying the so-called ‘status quo’
By Paul Lin 林保華

As Typhoon Nanmadol threatened Taiwan, President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) had other things on his mind, such as what to do about Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Chairperson Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文). He thought invoking the so-called “1992 consensus” could silence Tsai and the Taiwanese who oppose unification. Apart from banging on about how much he was engaged with the preparations for Nanmadol’s landfall — ignoring the more considerable contributions of others — he called on Tsai to comment on his “three noes” policy: “no unification, no independence and no use of force.”

Tsai need not bother answer his questions, because I can answer them for her. Ma’s “three noes” threaten the “status quo.” Not only do they fail to maintain it, they conspire to obliterate it and perhaps are already doing so.

Let’s look at “no unification” first. On June 10, 2009, Ma announced his intention to stand again for chairman of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT). The following morning, he gave an interview with CommonWealth Magazine during which, according to an article that appeared in the Chinese state-sponsored media outlet China Review News (CRN) a week later, he singled out the “no unification” part of his three noes. CRN quoted him as saying that “no unification” did not necessarily preclude the option of unification. Apparently, even as he was taking up the post of KMT chairman, Ma was preparing to scrap “no unification.” Perhaps he was respecting the dying wish of his father, Ma Ho-ling (馬鶴凌), inscribed on the latter’s urn: “Replace independence with gradual unification.”

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Who really profits from government stock buy?
By Paul Lin 林保華

A number of big firms on Wall Street — and likely politicians in cahoots with them — took advantage of the recent US debt ceiling showdown, pressuring the US government to unleash a third round of quantitative easing. The firms managed to profit from this, while also stirring up the global market.

It is common for stocks to fluctuate and the trick is knowing how to ride the fluctuations to make money. This risk in stock markets means it is important for investors in Taiwan to be cautious and not rely on the state-owned National Stabilization Fund (NSF) to intervene and prop up the Taiwan Stock Exchange every time the waters get choppy.

The TAIEX shed 464 points on Aug. 5, and US markets suffered later that day, too, because of the combined actions of major international players. Who knows, the decision by Standard & Poor’s to downgrade the US’ credit rating may have been coordinated. It is difficult to say.

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Internal fights must not distract DPP
By Paul Lin 林保華

The three Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) presidential primary candidates recently took part in a political debate, which was subject to further scrutiny in an opinion poll about the candidates’ performances. These were internal debates, and where there is debate there are necessarily differences of opinion, which is not a problem as long as the opinions are substantiated by fact. Also, the three candidates are from the same camp, necessitating a certain amount of self-restraint in the debate. Green camp voters are now more discerning and sophisticated, and they are aware of the influence that their votes have in restraining the behavior of politicians.

Although one shouldn’t necessarily support only one candidate, neither should one support all three. Hsu Hsin-liang (許信良), for example, has very different political views from DPP presidential hopefuls Su Tseng-chang (蘇貞昌) and Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文). Hsu has two major components to his policy: cross-strait relations — large-scale investment in and engagement with China — and social justice, centered on assisting disadvantaged groups and addressing wealth disparity. Surely Hsu is smart enough to realize these two policies are incompatible.

Although Taiwanese businesses have been quite conservative about investing in China, we are already seeing a huge decrease in government tax revenue, higher unemployment and a growing poverty gap. Can Taiwan really take much more of this increased investment and enagagement?

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It is time for the next generation to stand up
By Paul Lin 林保華

The disqualification of taekwondo athlete Yang Shu-chun (楊淑君) from the Asian Games, just as campaigning for the special municipality elections was heating up, has opened the eyes of the younger generation in Taiwan.

This was not an isolated incident: at the Tokyo International Film Festival, a Chinese official abused Taiwanese in order to curry favor with the powers that be in Beijing.

Asian Taekwondo Union vice president Zhao Lei (趙磊) might have abused Taiwan for his personal advantage, but such behavior is condoned by Beijing under the banner of nationalism.

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True happiness has a green face
By Paul Lin 林保華

One of the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) campaign slogans, “proven in government,” has been confirmed by a survey carried out by the Chinese--language magazine CommonWealth, which shows the DPP’s approval rating is higher than that of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) pretty much across the board. The electorate has shown they approve of what the DPP is doing, and the party is now rebounding.

In the campaign for the five special municipality elections, the DPP candidates have refused to be provoked by the KMT’s smear tactics, insisting instead on comparing their political competence with their KMT counterparts. This has President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九), who also acts as KMT chairman, panicking and running around campaigning like a man possessed. It looks like the DPP have struck the right chord.

Two weeks ago, the Taiwan Youth Anti-Communist Corps traveled to Kaohsiung and Tainan. The pan-green camp is in power in both these areas, testimony to the fact that its leaders are, indeed, “proven in government.” If they weren’t, the polls wouldn’t be showing the KMT trailing them.

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Sensitive spots dampen Ma’s dream

By Paul Lin 林保華

 

To the excitement of democracies and democracy activists around the world, Liu Xiaobo (劉曉波), the well-known, currently imprisoned Chinese dissident, was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize last week. In democratic Taiwan, however, President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) merely offered a hollow statement saying the award was of historic significance.

In contrast to the US president, the German chancellor, the Japanese prime minister and others who called on the Chinese government to free Liu and allow him to receive the prize in person, Ma needed more than 24 hours to consider his response. Not until the evening after the prize was awarded did he issue a statement expressing a “hope that Liu Xiaobo will be released and allowed to regain his freedom as soon as possible.”

He also said: “I believe the Taiwanese public would be highly appreciative of the Chinese initiative” if Liu were to be released.

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China’s blustering is insubstantial
By Paul Lin 林保華

Relations between China and the US, which went through a period of tension following the sinking of the South Korean corvette Cheonan, have begun to relax somewhat. The main reason for this is that Chinese President and Communist Party General Secretary Hu Jintao (胡錦濤) is readying the itinerary for his visit to the US this autumn, and such a glorious journey must be given top priority.

China’s earlier threats to the US have not had the desired effect, so the time has come to end the bluster.

As for the US, if it were not for the sinking of the Cheonan and China’s challenges through claims of core interests, the US would not want to get involved in a game of tit for tat. Now that China has decided to give it a rest, the US is happy to follow suit.

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Diaoyotais incident a litmus test

By Paul Lin 林保華
Monday, Sep 27, 2010, Page 8

Taipei Times

During the Cultural Revolution, the Chinese took pride in standing alone against the evils of imperialism, revisionism and anti-revolutionary behavior. Caught up in the moment, I fear they let it go to their heads. There was a song, very popular back then, that went something like this: “The wind is blowing from the east, the war drums are starting to beat, who shall cower should we meet? We do not fear the American imperialists, it is they who fear us!” As to who fears whom now, the current dispute over the Diaoyutai Islands (釣魚台) is a useful litmus test.

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China’s acting skills on full display

By Paul Lin 林保華
Sunday, Sep 19, 2010, Page 8

On the morning of Sept. 7, a Chinese fishing vessel collided with a Japanese coast guard patrol boat in the waters off the Diaoyutais. The fishing vessel and her crew were detained by the Japanese coast guard, igniting new tensions between China and Japan. What are we to make of this event?

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Ma selling out country and party

By Paul Lin 林保華
Sunday, Sep 12, 2010, Page 8

Sept. 3 was Victory over Japan Day in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). The People’s Daily, a mouthpiece of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), published an editorial claiming the victory was a result of the leadership and efforts of the CCP, which represented the will of all Chinese in the anti-Japanese war effort. Neither the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) nor the Republic of China (ROC) were mentioned.

President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) had no choice but to make a clarification the next day, and say that victory in the eight-year war was achieved under the leadership of the ROC government, led by the KMT regime, and that this is historical fact. In particular, Ma said Chinese President Hu Jintao’s (胡錦濤) statement five years ago that the CCP and the KMT together led the resistance against Japan “was closer to the truth.”

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Containing China in new cold war (Taipei Times)

By Paul Lin 林保華
Sunday, Aug 22, 2010, Page 8

On Monday, the US and South Korea held their second joint military exercise in a month. The scale of the drill outstripped that of the first drill, held late last month, by three times. Despite both Chinese and North Korean threats, the US and South Korean insistence on the drills was a response to North Korea’s alleged sinking of the South Korean Cheonan warship. It was also a reaction to China’s recent claim that the Yellow Sea and the South China Sea are part of its core interests.

North Korea denies responsibility for the sinking, and China pretends to remain neutral. However, the North launched its invasion of the South 60 years ago with Chinese and Soviet backing, but China covered up its support with lies and has never admitted or apologized for its backing. How, then, can we possibly believe China’s denial and profession of neutrality today?

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Capital grab exposes China’s risk

By Paul Lin 林保華
Wednesday, Jul 14, 2010, Page 8

The Foxconn Technology Group affair shows that China’s economic growth model, which is focused on low wages to promote exports, has reached a turning point. This, however, is not the only worry for China’s economic development. Chinese-investment banks have been actively raising capital in Hong Kong recently, and this shows the hidden risk of the Chinese financial sector.

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China on the brink of huge social changes

By Paul Lin 林保華
Monday, Jun 14, 2010, Page 8

Looking at the employee suicides at Hon Hai-owned Foxconn Technology Group’s plant in Shenzhen, China, as a mere labor dispute is superficial. It is easy to see that Hon Hai chairman Terry Gou (郭台銘) is a visionary entrepreneur from his response to the events. In one week, he raised workers’ salaries twice — a total of 122 percent.

The raise satisfied workers, stunned competitors and forced the Chinese government to consider the long-term impacts of the decision on China’s development.

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Wealthy being extorted in China

By Paul Lin 林保華
Sunday, Jun 06, 2010, Page 8

The truth behind the recent spate of suicides at Foxconn plants in China remains unclear because Beijing has worked hard to distract attention from the issue. However, the effects of the suicides cannot be underestimated, as they may yet give impetus to the moribund Chinese labor movement.

As a result, the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) Propaganda Department has ordered local media outlets to refrain from reporting on the issue without prior permission. This is a missed opportunity.

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DPP has a tough battle ahead at end of year

By Paul Lin 林保華

Saturday, Mar 06, 2010, Page 8

After last Saturday’s four legislative by-elections, I felt I could finally talk about the five year-end special municipality elections, a topic I have been thinking about for some time.

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Taiwan cannot just rely on the US

By Paul Lin 林保華
Taipei Times
Wednesday, Feb 10, 2010, Page 8
The Sino-US relationship has undergone a change recently. Although US President Barack Obama adopted a low-key approach during his visit to China last November, he was humiliated by Beijing at the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen in December. This has forced Washington to take a tougher stance, and it has used the spat between Google and China as a point of departure. Both President Ma Ying-jeou’s (馬英九) transit stopovers in the US on his way to and from Latin America and the US announcement of the arms sales package to Taiwan involve what Beijing calls its core interests, and as a result, tension between China and the US has intensified.

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